September Is Not A Guaranteed Crash

August 31st, 2026· 0:36
Benzinga
Benzinga

September gets a bad rap on Wall Street, but the actual math is way less scary than the reputation suggests. Yes, since 1928, September is the only calendar month with a negative average return for the S&P 500, but that average decline is only about 1.17%, according to Bank of America data. And the index has actually finished September in the green roughly 44% of the time since 1928, according to Yardeni Research and Dow Jones Market Data. That is nearly a coin flip. A scary seasonal statistic is not the same thing as a guaranteed crash, and treating one as the other is exactly how investors talk themselves into bad decisions. Watch our full breakdown of Wall Street's most dangerous month on the channel. $SPY. #SeptemberEffect #StockMarket #Investing 🌐 Find more market-moving insights at https://www.benzinga.com — your one-stop destination for the latest financial news, data, and expert analysis to stay ahead of the markets. 🖥️ Want the same tools the pros use—without the $10K Bloomberg terminal? Benzinga Edge gives you real-time portfolio alerts, weekly stock picks, and pro-grade research in one command center. 👉 https://bit.ly/4unSKiB ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 📲 Follow us on socials @benzinga 🔔 Subscribe To The Channel: https://www.youtube.com/@Benzinga ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ⚠️ Disclaimer: Investing in financial markets carries risk, and there are no guaranteed returns. All information is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as financial advice. Always do your own research and speak with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. Only invest what you can afford to lose. Past performance does not guarantee future outcomes.