Tesla-SpaceX Merger Rumor Just Got a Catalyst

July 9th, 2026Ā· 0:53
Benzinga
Benzinga

JPMorgan just published a research note arguing that a merger between Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) and Space Exploration Technologies Corp. (NASDAQ: SPCX) is now far more practical than it was before SpaceX went public. The bank believes SpaceX's record $1.77 trillion IPO priced at $135 per share on June 11, 2026, raising roughly $85 billion furnishes the "high-value acquisition currency" needed to actually get a deal done. With SpaceX's market cap now hovering close to $2 trillion versus Tesla's roughly $1.4 trillion, JPMorgan says a SpaceX-led all-stock acquisition is more likely than a traditional merger of equals. JPMorgan currently rates SpaceX Overweight with a $225 price target about 51% above the recent close. The strategic case, according to JPMorgan, already exists: Tesla and SpaceX share engineering talent, AI infrastructure, and the massive Terafab chip facility in Texas. SpaceX has purchased Tesla Megapack batteries and Cybertrucks, Tesla previously invested $2 billion in xAI (which now sits within SpaceX), and both companies are spending aggressively on AI, robotics, and custom silicon. SpaceX President Gwynne Shotwell recently acknowledged potential synergies, telling CNBC a combination "might make Elon's life a little easier." Elon Musk's move to boost his Tesla voting stake to roughly 20% by exercising his 2018 compensation award further strengthens his ability to execute a deal though a governance imbalance remains, as Musk controls roughly 85% of SpaceX voting power but only about 20% of Tesla. JPMorgan says the biggest hurdles are not financial but regulatory: combining SpaceX's defense and government contracts with Tesla's China manufacturing footprint could invite scrutiny from multiple jurisdictions, particularly given Starlink's lack of approval in China and national security concerns tied to SpaceX's Pentagon and NASA business. The bank also floated alternative structures a new holding company, cash-and-stock hybrid, or a phased combination but says the exchange ratio, shareholder support, and regulatory approvals will remain the key issues investors monitor. --- #Tesla #SpaceX #ElonMusk 🌐 Find more market-moving insights at https://www.benzinga.com — your one-stop destination for the latest financial news, data, and expert analysis to stay ahead of the markets. šŸ–„ļø Want the same tools the pros use—without the $10K Bloomberg terminal? Benzinga Edge gives you real-time portfolio alerts, weekly stock picks, and pro-grade research in one command center. šŸ‘‰ https://bit.ly/4unSKiB ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ šŸ“² Follow us on socials @benzinga šŸ”” Subscribe To The Channel: https://www.youtube.com/@Benzinga ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ āš ļø Disclaimer: Investing in financial markets carries risk, and there are no guaranteed returns. All information is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as financial advice. Always do your own research and speak with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. Only invest what you can afford to lose. Past performance does not guarantee future outcomes.